Confirmation Bias Tag Archive

Express your confidence in the accuracy of your belief in percentages

(Excerpt from Thinking In Bets by Annie Duke) … we also rated our level of confidence about the accuracy of our belief on a scale of zero to ten? Zero would mean we are certain a belief is not true. Ten would...

Confirmation Bias, Ego, Fallibility, Overconfidence Bias Read More

We don’t explain success, we rationalise success

(Excerpt from The Star Principle by Richard Koch) As Professor Phil Rosenzweig of the IMD business school in Switzerland demonstrates, nearly all the usual explanations of business success are useless and exaggerate...

Confirmation Bias Read More