Confirmation Bias, Chow Yong Han

We see the world the way we want it to be

(Excerpt from The Almanack of Ravikant) The number one thing clouding us from being able to see reality is we have preconceived notions of the way it should be. One definition of a moment of suffering is “the moment...

December 29, 2020| Confirmation Bias, Ego Read More

Express your confidence in the accuracy of your belief in percentages

(Excerpt from Thinking In Bets by Annie Duke) … we also rated our level of confidence about the accuracy of our belief on a scale of zero to ten? Zero would mean we are certain a belief is not true. Ten would...

August 22, 2020| Confirmation Bias, Ego, Fallibility, Overconfidence Bias Read More

We don’t explain success, we rationalise success

(Excerpt from The Star Principle by Richard Koch) As Professor Phil Rosenzweig of the IMD business school in Switzerland demonstrates, nearly all the usual explanations of business success are useless and exaggerate...

February 18, 2020| Confirmation Bias Read More